Macro Trends

Gate Research Daily Report: On January 23, BTC rebounded after a sharp sell-off that previously pushed it down to around $87,000, and is now consolidating within the $89,300–$89,900 range; ETH staged a technical rebound after falling to around $2,866, but retreated after facing resistance near $3,000 and is now moving sideways between $2,930–$2,980; GT, after rebounding from lower levels, is capped by resistance near $10.10 and continues to trade in a weak consolidation pattern; XRD led small-cap tokens with a surge of +60.19%. Meanwhile, South Korean authorities reported that BTC under custody may have been stolen in a phishing attack, involving around $47 million; Citi warned that the recent surge in Ethereum on-chain activity is likely driven mainly by “address poisoning” scams; and World Liberty Financial’s partnership with Spacecoin to launch the USD1 satellite DeFi project has drawn market attention.

Gate Research Daily Report: On January 26, crypto market sentiment fell into the extreme fear zone, with major assets under pressure and risk appetite continuing to contract. Mid- and small-cap tokens such as TAIKO, AUCTION, and BOB moved higher against the broader trend, driven by technical upgrades, capital rotation, and supply constraints, indicating localized sector rotation. Structurally, the SocialFi narrative is rapidly unwinding, with social tokens broadly down more than 90%; Bitcoin payments are seeing accelerated offline adoption in Las Vegas and other locations; and while on-chain stablecoin settlement volumes continue to expand, their share of real-world payments remains below 0.02%.

Gate Research Daily Report: Bitcoin remains in a controlled pullback for now, but its overall price structure is showing clear signs of fatigue. Ethereum is hovering around USD 2,900, while downside risks still warrant close attention. ACU surged more than 34%, driven by expanded market access. Axie Infinity’s launch of bAXS pushed AXS up by over 32%. Zerohash is in talks to raise around USD 250 million, with a potential valuation of USD 1.5 billion. Goldman Sachs expects the January FOMC meeting to be largely uneventful, with the first rate cut of the year likely starting in June. VanEck’s first AVAX spot ETF has been listed on Nasdaq.

Gate Research Weekly Report: BTC and ETH are consolidating after a pullback from recent highs; positioning has turned defensive, with flows rotating into steadier altcoin themes such as tokenized commodities/gold, payments, privacy, and DID. Ethereum continues to dominate tokenized commodity issuance with an 85% share. Long-term holders have accelerated distribution, marking Bitcoin’s strongest sell pressure since August. Prediction market volume hit a new all-time high, increasingly acting as an on-chain “expectations pricing layer.” Polymarket is driving a surge in USDC usage, and Mizuho upgraded Circle’s rating while highlighting its growth optionality. SUI is set to unlock roughly $60.94 million worth of tokens over the next 7 days, representing 11% of circulating supply.

After gold broke through the $5,000 mark, the liquidity constraints of traditional physical gold and paper gold have become more pronounced. This article offers an in-depth analysis of the asset mapping mechanisms behind tokenized gold (such as XAUt), detailing how these instruments facilitate cross-system transfers, asset portfolio integration, and on-chain payments while preserving full physical gold backing. It further examines the fundamental logic and long-term impact of gold’s transition from a safe-haven asset to “digital physical gold” and its potential role as a future currency.

Gate Research Daily Report: On January 30, the crypto market came under broad pressure, with Bitcoin falling below $82,000 and briefly dipping to around $81,000, while Ether retreated to the $2,700 level and remained technically weak. GT declined in tandem but showed relatively resilient downside, consolidating around the $9.20–$9.30 support zone. Despite weakness in major assets, selective capital rotation persisted, with small-cap tokens such as SENT and GWEI posting strong gains driven by AI and Ethereum infrastructure narratives. Meanwhile, a tech-led selloff fueled a cross-market risk-off move, alongside notable industry developments including Bit Digital’s exit from Bitcoin mining and the revival of The DAO with a $220 million Ethereum security fund.

Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino is capitalizing on the substantial profits generated by Tether’s stablecoin operations to accumulate physical gold on a massive scale, making Tether one of the largest gold holders globally outside of central banks. This article offers an in-depth examination of Tether’s strategy for converting stablecoin revenue into gold reserves, acquiring shares in concession companies, and expanding its gold-backed token XAUT, highlighting the company’s strategic positioning in macro-finance and currency competition.

The article clarifies the transition of funds from gold to crude oil, examines how liquidity crises and renewed tightening expectations from the Federal Reserve are weighing on gold prices, and provides practical guidance for prioritizing energy assets over gold in prolonged market scenarios.

Gate Research Daily Report: On February 4, the crypto market continued to face broad pullback pressure, with major assets generally trading under strain. On the thematic side, capital remained concentrated in high-beta plays tied to AI and onchain infrastructure narratives. ARC rallied strongly on renewed attention around the “Rig” framework for AI builders, ALCH gained momentum on the back of AI workflow and agent tooling infrastructure themes, while ENSO drew interest for its cross-chain execution abstraction and one-stop DeFi execution layer concept. At the macro and industry level, the Puell Multiple has entered a historical discount zone, signaling increased miner stress but gradually improving long-term accumulation value. Gate Ventures announced a strategic investment in the crypto payment network Mesh, strengthening its positioning in stablecoin and payment connectivity infrastructure. Meanwhile, Vitalik reiterated that Ethereum L2s should shift away from the original “brand sharding” vision toward mo

This article goes beyond reporting a single event. It offers an in-depth analysis, situating Walsh’s appointment as Federal Reserve Chair within a 15-year macroeconomic narrative that encompasses monetary experiments, soaring U.S. Treasury debt, and Trump-era political dynamics. The piece examines Walsh’s personal career, family background, and his position within Trump’s power network. It dissects the policy combination of rate cuts and balance sheet reduction—an approach that appears contradictory but is tailored for a high-debt environment. Step by step, the article unpacks the substance of Walsh’s policy strategy and pinpoints the true obstacles constraining his decisions.

This article goes beyond traditional single-asset analysis, focusing on the new paradigm of asset MEME-ification. It provides an in-depth look at the AI-driven structural transformation in global assets, highlighting the move from fundamentals-based cycles to highly compressed periods governed by sweeping narratives.

The article precisely analyzes the duality of "negative Rho Bitcoin" vs "positive Rho Bitcoin" and distinguishes the essential difference between benign deflation and malignant deflation.

Gate Research Daily Report: On Feb. 9, the crypto market entered a choppy recovery phase after a deleveraging shock, with flows showing a clear structural split: capital crowding into BTC while major altcoins remain under pressure. BTC has rebounded and is consolidating around $70,000, which remains the key pivot for bulls vs. bears; ETH is being weighed down by whale deleveraging and debt-repayment selling, and may repeatedly test the $2,000 psychological level in the near term. On the thematic side, AI Agents and memes remain the high-beta core, with BNKR, PIPPIN, and PENGUIN leading gains. In our Alpha section, we highlight Vitalik’s view that algorithmic stablecoins represent “true DeFi,” Cathie Wood’s thesis that gold strength tends to lead and BTC follows, and Tether’s accelerating shift toward a conglomerate model via global diversification, governance upgrades, and expanded hiring.

Real Vision founder Raoul Pal, leveraging 38 years of trading experience and 13 years of direct involvement in cryptocurrencies, emphasizes that the "HODL" strategy combined with buying during sharp market declines is more effective than attempting to time the market.

Gate Research Daily Report: Bitcoin’s $69,000–$71,000 range is the key zone for bulls to validate the sustainability of the rebound. Ethereum is gradually stabilizing at lower levels, with MACD turning bullish and price moving toward the upper Bollinger Band, signaling a clearer short-term technical recovery. News circulating on X has intensified retail FOMO, driving ZKP up 32.80% over the past 24 hours, while SAFFRONFI surged more than 40%, mainly due to increased short-term trading activity. Bitcoin selling pressure has temporarily eased, but a durable market recovery will require a revival in spot demand. A crypto market structure bill may pass within the next few months, with stablecoin yields emerging as the key point of contention. Meanwhile, Jump Trading plans to exchange liquidity provision for minority equity stakes in Kalshi and Polymarket.